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  • alterego
    09-17 10:37 PM
    This is no doubt a bad time for the US economy. However the world is not going to collapse. We will nearly certainly see a recession. Outside chance of a depression. The credit markets are frozen, confidence has been shaken, housing is searching for a bottom, unemployment has ticked up a percentage point so far, and the stock market is down about 20%.

    However, put that in the context of the great depression in the late 20s and into the early 30s. 25% unemployment, Widespread bank failures with no FDIC insurance, Many companies collapsed and people lost their life savings just by keeping it in the bank, Stock markets down by nearly 90%, people died of starvation! Yeah those things happened in this country. In fact, many observers attribute that experience for the extremely frugal nature of the elderly in this country, the so called great generation. Perhaps this will change current US attitudes away from consumption and toward savings. Perhaps entitlement reform will be fast tracked. We shall see.

    Things are bad. Structural changes are needed. The war must be ended and the resources redirected. Americans also need to adjust to the new realities in a globalizing world some of which are not particularly appealing.
    However also remember, the US has many geo-political advantages, control of a massive amount of natural resources, still the best R&D, an advanced industrial base, well developed infrastructure, and despite the current wall street mess no currency seems imminently capable of replacing the US dollar as the global reserve currency (hence giving the Federal reserve the enormous power of the printing press). Note that not a single currency has appreciated more than 5% viz a vie during this crisis. In fact Gold has outperformed all! Quite simply noone believes another economy is ready at this time.

    Hopefully the job market will not get too messy. The market will bottom in the next 6 months or so, once their is a complete clean out of the balance sheets. We are probably past the half way point in this. Exactly when it ends noone knows however.

    If you have savings consider putting it in blue chip consumer staples, when you feel there is a bottom in stocks. Diversify internationally, Consider letting your wife go on a gold buying binge............:).

    Quit worrying, this too shall pass. This downturn will be longer than recent ones however. Might be measured in terms of a few years rather than months.





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  • chmur
    09-11 03:04 PM
    EB3-ROW Pending per Aug 2009 I-485 Inventory ~ 63K
    The EB3-ROW Demand for October 2010 ~ 45K.
    So actually backlog reduction for EB3 ROW has just been 18 K (much less than the 30K they should get). I don't see where you are seeing the overflow.
    The total Pending in Aug 2009 was
    EB2 ALL- 75K. EB3 all -151K . So total ~ 225K
    The demand data today is EB2 = 34K(this is only I/C, no ROW demand)
    Demand for EB3 = 136K.
    So even though reduction in backlog is significant (225K- 170K =55K). It is not going to all categories evenly.

    And unless USCIS comes up with a smarter way to determine demand data other than counting pending I-485, once this demand goes to zero they will have to advance EB2 I/C dates. Now they can be smart and advance it by 6 months to not open up floodgates and test the post 2007 demand, or just follow the rule blindly that supply > demand and the category is current. Either way, the law prevents any spillover from a category unless it is current and EB2 I/C is not getting current in 2-3 years.

    I also want to believe like you that the hidden demand post 2007 for EB2I/C + EB3 ROW is as low as possible. And we won't know about the exact number till USCIS does a better job of reporting approved I-140 by country.

    Check with latest Inventory data - 05/2010

    Also - where can i get the demand data you are referring to ??





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  • gsc999
    04-20 02:44 PM
    Maybe no banners or signs because this is a town-hall style meeting and not a rally. I'll let you know if its ok to do that.

    But surely, it would be good if you bring a sign/banner saying "www.immigrationvoice.org" which would help us get more coverage is its caught by the media.
    --
    Ok, I will get a couple.





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  • belmontboy
    01-16 04:45 PM
    My layoff was much less traumatizing at the instant.

    I was in India on vacation and one fine day I check my work email to see an email that I was let go a day earlier with 2 weeks of severance.

    Luckily I had my AP with me which is what I used to return back instead of the H1. Needless to add my entire remainder of the vacation was ruined in between obsessing about how to come back (try using the H1 even though laid off or use the AP and face secondary inspections) and applying to new jobs.

    Well I am back now and looking everywhere. Hopefully something should click soon.

    All the best guys!

    your screen name is interesting :D



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  • Ahimsa
    11-22 08:11 AM
    ... You cannot guarantee 2 years from now for those who applied in 2003 and 2004 till getting GC...
    ... My PD is in 2003 and I am EB-3 ROW but I don't think it will happen in two years in this pace...

    Until now (from June 2005) Schedule A EB3 applicants were prioritized in GC number allocations, making the H-1B EB3 applicants' priority dates stayed put.
    From Jan 2007 onwards there will be no priority for Schedule A. So I expect the EB3 dates for all countries to move from Jan 2007 onwards. 2003 and 2004 applicants may be able to file 485 with an available GC number in 2 years but may get stuck in the FBI name check.





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  • Goodintentions
    02-09 11:47 AM
    I am planning to drive down from Detroit area. It should take about 10 1/2 hours to DC. It will be good if we could car pool, more for driving comfort and company. If anyone is interested, please let me know.

    Best wishes...



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  • TeddyKoochu
    09-10 02:01 PM
    They can make a category current when Demand < Supply. So once all I-485s prior to 2007 are approved the monthly demand data they publish will show demand Prior to CY2011 = 200. So unless they use approved I-140 to determine demand , DOS will make the dates current(even if for 1 month). As long as USCIS uses pending I-485 data to determine demand, the July 2007 fiasco will keep on repeating every 3-4 years. The key here is to have USCIS provide the actual demand (people with approved I-140s). It was mentioned somewhere that the current USCIS database is not capable of sorting the I-140s by country of chargebility and hence the I-140 data can't be used to determine per country demand.

    Agreed that the I140 data may not be exact due to system limitations but approximation can still work, they take up more people, EB2 ROW was current the whole of last year, FB2 is at Apr 2010. Even I140 statistics are shown on the volumes chart so I believe that the approximate numbers per country can be very easily derived or they can test the waters in small steps if they like. Since there is no guideline on this the agencies are legal in using judicious discretion.





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  • dummgelauft
    08-21 11:33 AM
    Uscis has done nothing wrong.

    This person who posted the new thread seems to have come in to the country without even a passport. How is that legal?

    How in the world can we expect Uscis to overlook all that? Don't criticize uscis for doing their job right (for once) :)

    Canadians DO NOT need a passport, even now, to enter US for PLEASURE (visiting friends, vacation etc.).
    HOWEVER, they do need visa to (which means a passport) to (1) Study (2) Work (3) Start a business etc in US.
    If this person was a Canadian, and had a US citizen fiancee, it should have been a simple case of gettng a K1 fiancee visa and coming to US. Getting any kind of US visa is really very simple and quick for a Canadian citizen



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  • sukhwinderd
    02-21 06:40 AM
    people from neighboring area/from places on the way are welcome to join.





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  • anilsal
    12-10 09:48 AM
    A movement of 15 days in EB3-I is a good movement. Big movement in EB3 without law change is not possible.

    You are correct. In fact, without some legislation or a bill for recapture getting passed, large movement in dates in not possible.



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  • nomi
    12-12 07:13 PM
    nomi,

    I am very surprised that there is not as much interest in this thread as I had expected but you are doing great in trying to explore this avenue. I wish I had some of the answers. Keep up the good work.



    I will look into it. I think everyone should look into it and try to find some solution. All IV member sends so many fax to US Senate and called all Senators which was good effort from all of us. Now if we send six thousands fax to USCIS same day...Don`t you guy think that USCIS will notice our problems and discuss them in their enternal meeting and ask US Senate or Congress to discuss this issue as early as possible. I know IV is doing great job and I am with IV but all I am saying we should put some pressure on USCIS too so they can see we are in pain and they do their job to get us some relief.

    If we do this then , USCIS will also support us too since we are right and we are asking some relief about green card.

    Guys come on ...Think about it too. We can do it if IV approve it and everyone help. We should bother USCIS too about our issue so they can contact lawmakers and tell them about our pain. No body care if we don`t speak up.

    Please tell me if we send 6000 fax same day don`t you think we will be in IV will be in headline and if we keeping doing same thing then some one will listen our issues and give us some temp. relief.

    Please come and Take the lead in this regard and Request USCIS to give us some temp relief because there are lot of people and families suffering coz of this.

    Please stop predicting Visa number everyone and deal with reality and stand up and speak about ou issue.

    Tell me what don`t you guys think ??

    thx.





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  • GreenLantern
    02-21 05:09 PM
    What is all this about LW. Everybody seems to think it's the bomb. Why? Maybe this needs to be it's own thread?



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  • Ramba
    07-04 08:13 PM
    Source:

    http://www.dhs.gov/xabout/structure/editorial_0482.shtm

    others: various law firm sites, including

    www.ilw.com
    http://pubweb.fdbl.com/news1.nsf/9abe5d703b986cff86256e310080943a/41399c23bb40f2ff8525730c007f830a?OpenDocument

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Estimated new 485 filings. : 700K is conservative. May be wrong too.

    LC s certified from BEC: about 200K (from 2001 to 2005 filings)
    PERM Certifed labor: About 200K (from Mar 2005 to June 2007)

    Total LC: 400K. Let us assume 100K already appliled. Lets say 300K is affected by retrogression.

    The dependents for 300k will be 450K (1.5 times primary)

    So total AOS applicants will be 750K just based on LC. Excluding EB1.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------





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  • new_horizon
    10-20 02:36 PM
    I missed on some of the conversation here
    - '92-'00 was a good economic time because of the dot com boom.
    - the repubs were in charge of the house and senate, and they helped in part to frame/pass the policies during that time.
    - the housing sector debacle started in the clinton era, when the dems pushed the fannie may & freddie mac to lower the lending standards to give loans to the people who couldn't afford it. though it sounded like a good objective they all knew that at one point it would boomerang.
    - the dems did that for their own purposes:
    1. to gain the support of the lower income/middle income population which they did.
    2. to fatten their own wallets-they changed the compensation rules so that the more they loan out the more their compensation. the dem guy in charge of the loaning agencies earned 90 mil in 6 years.
    3. the top two beneficiaries of contribution from fm/fm were guess who chris dodd & barck obama (barack got 130K in just 3 years). not to mention the favorable interest rates on their mortgage loans.
    - the US has prospered so far because of its capitalistic philosophy. it has advanced innovation, and entrepreneurship, because innovators know they'll be compensated for their hardwork. barack recently claimed he want's to spread the wealth around which is a socialist philosophy...you've seen that in the communist countries (no growth, poverty, and low standards).
    - barack has had no accomplishment at all...no executive decision made, no major legislation (bills) introduced or passed (let alone through bipartisan efforts). so all of a sudden to assume he's going to bring change is ridiculous. hillary would have made a better president of course the press decides/controls everything now.
    - look at the huge spending plan he has (free giveaways to everybody)...to fund that he'll tax you and I (take away whatever money we've saved).
    - he's ambiguous on everything...he changed his initial position on almost everything, and not just once (again according to the audience)

    I don't think we need to go thru all this again. all i care now is my gc, and I don't think obama is for it. even if he says he's for it, you can't trust him. he'll change his position when it becomes unpopular.

    again be rational in your thinking.

    p.s with the limited time I had I wrote all this...so don't pounce on any gramatical errors (of course the dems like to do that).



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  • gc_rip
    09-10 12:01 PM
    Hi IV team, and all,

    Can we come up with certain organized campaign, just like the flower campaign back in Aug 07? I am sure if we have such campaign, the participation would definitely be more.

    Ofcourse we need to choose a right time and right message to put through.

    Please share your ideas.

    Thanks!





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  • varshadas
    02-09 08:26 PM
    Yes, I will send in the details for the telcon shortly



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  • Berkeleybee
    02-14 01:17 PM
    Retrohatao,

    Also want to tell you that as the CA team meets lawmakers we give them an informational packet that includes:

    (1) Our presentation

    (2) CIS Ombudsman's Report:
    http://www.dhs.gov/interweb/assetlibrary/CIS_AnnualReport_2005.pdf

    (3) GAO Report on Backlogs at USCIS
    http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0620.pdf

    (4) Exec Summary of NAS Rising Above a Gathering Storm
    http://fermat.nap.edu/catalog/11463.html

    (5) How Visa Date Cutoffs Are Established from July 2000 Bulletin
    http://dosfan.lib.uic.edu/ERC/visa_bulletin/2000-07bulletin.html

    Number (3), the GAO report describes the security check problem in tremendous detail. We give this report to lawmakers to remind them of the farcical nature of the security check problem. Note also that the CIS Ombudsman's report also includes critical commentary on the security check problem.

    To reiterate, we are committed to removing ALL the hurdles in the process, not pick and choose between them.

    best,
    Berkeleybee





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  • ramus
    07-02 06:13 PM
    Why we just have $300 contribution so far when we have 1500 members online.. Lets put this thred in every thread..

    Pappu, can we put this thread on home page..





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  • jelo
    04-09 11:11 AM
    I spoke to the lawyer about IOs at POE calling the employers whether the H1bs can be replaced by citizens. His explanation made sense and this calling business looks suspicious.
    As he said, we do not prove anywhere in H1b process that we are not going to replace citizens. we do prove that the job will be paid the prevailing wage at the location. So I dont know how the IO can call and ask that unless they have other strong reason to do so. I do here such news but not from any one I know and travelled.





    GCBy3000
    01-18 03:06 PM
    I dont understand where they will deport you if you do not have any immigration documents? By default to mexico?... :) This office does not know anything...

    Well, this is NOT a cooked up story. This happened to me yesterday at Harlingen (HRL) Texas airport.

    On January 16, 2008, I went to Mexico for H1-B visa stamping at Matamoras US consulate. I got my H1-B visa stamped and returned to Brownville, Texas.

    On January 17, 2008, I was at Harlingen (HRL), Texas airport for my final destination.

    One of the TSA security personnel�s is in process of verifying my ticket before proceeding to security check. As every one knows, we must present one of the government issued PHOTO-ID to them to clear the security check. I have shown my driver license and he has cleared the security check (name check).

    I was about to proceed further for security screening; mean while, a Police Officer came to me and asked me following questions.

    Sir, are you a US citizen?

    I said, No

    Then, he asked me, can I see your immigration documents.

    I have shown my passport to the police officer.

    He looked at H1-B visa and I-94 and asked me; who do you work for?

    I said my employer�s name.

    Later, he gave me my passport back.

    Now,

    I have asked the Police Officer few questions

    1. Sir, I�m in domestic traveling, is it mandatory to carry my immigration documents at all times?

    Police Officer said, as per the US LAW, all non-immigrants must carry immigration documents and passport at all times.

    2. What would you have done to me, if I had failed to present my passport?

    Police office said, I could have DEPORTED you.

    3. Sir, it is not possible for any one to carry passport at all times. Could the LAW allow me to carry photo copies of my passport and immigrations documents?

    Police office said, No. Technically, you must carry original documents at all times.

    I would advice you to carry Passport at all times.

    I did not know this until Police Officer told me about this LAW.

    P.S: BTW, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) level is in �ORGANE�.





    desi3933
    02-01 08:03 AM
    Thank you very much for the response. I sent you a PM.

    Now do we need to have the pay stubs for all the time to show you are in status or does the W2 amount be sufficient?

    Thank you.

    >> Thank you very much for the response. I sent you a PM.
    I don't respond to Private Messages. If you have questions for me and would like to get my opinion on it, please post in forums here.

    ____________________
    Not a legal advice.
    US Citizen of Indian Origin